South Florida Paralegal Blog

Take my house.....please
July 23rd, 2007 9:40 AM

 

Judging by the volume of calls I've been receiving in the last few weeks, we're only just beginning to see the tip of the iceberg in the foreclosure crisis in South Florida. Mark my words.... it's going to be really ugly. The politicians are already Monday morning quarterbacking, scrambling to hold hearings in order to find out "what went wrong" with the mortgage industry and the housing market. What went wrong is the usual culprits; greed, stupidity and laziness.

Last year, if you came to me and said "Dave, I want to buy a house. I have mediocre credit, I can't prove my income and I have no money to put down or even cover my closing costs", I could get you a loan. Not anymore... those days are long gone.

Why? Because the banks are finally waking up and saying "um, maybe we shouldn't have been throwing money around so easily. Maybe the eggheads in accounting should have anticipated that if people borrow 100% of the value of their house and their house value goes down, maybe they won't be so anxious to send that mortgage payment every month!"

But there's plenty of blame to go around. Mortgage brokers and borrowers themselves have to take their lumps too.

The American public has been brainwashed into thinking that everyone should own a home. It's the centerpiece of the American Dream, after all. And generally speaking, owning a home is a great thing. 

But now we live in the "buy-now-pay-later" world. How many of us have been lured by those furniture companies inviting us to come on down, pick out that shiny, new, black pleather sectional with recliners, cup holders and built-in storage for a case of beer and pay later..... as in real later..... like your kids are going to be paying for it later.

So if you have bad credit, you owe a lot of money to credit card companies, you can't save a penny, perhaps, just perhaps you should continue renting a little longer to get your financial life on track? That's how my grandparent's generation thought. I remember hearing about my grandparents buying their first home. Guess what they did? They saved money for a downpayment. My parents did too. Back then, mortgage companies required it.

In the last few years in South Florida, we experienced a housing market hotter than anything since they gave away land in the 1800s. People saw their neighbors buying homes and selling them for huge profits just a few weeks or months later. Everybody wanted a piece of this money pie! And while real estate investing is an important part of a balanced investment portfolio, amateur investors didn't understand the cyclical nature of the market as well as good 'ole supply and demand.

And now that the bubble has burst and the professional investors have walked away with their profits only to move on to other areas, thousands and thousands are stuck with homes they can't pay for or sell. In some areas, there are more "For Sale" signs than cars in driveways.

I'm receiving calls from people who speak like professional investors; "yea, I bought five properties and now the market has taken a turn and I need to get out from under them". And after speaking to them for a few minutes, I learn that these are postal workers, single moms with kids, teachers and firemen. They're not investors who have been doing this for years. And that's the sad part.

So the calls for bankruptcy will continue coming in to my office and home prices will continue to slide for another year to year and a half until all the inventory is gone. Things will eventually stabilize and then we will see normal appreciation again.

My best advice; if you have credit issues, work on cleaning them up. Start saving some money for closing costs and at least a 5% downpayment. Buyers looking to get into a nice home to live in will be able to find some great deals! Just forget about "flipping" and making $50,000 in a few months. 'Aint gonna happen!

 

 


Posted by David Uhlig on July 23rd, 2007 9:40 AMPost a Comment (4)

You failed to mention property tax and insurance rate increases. I think that is what put most people over the edge. Not the over inflated market. Compared to other places the homes here are a bargain. Do you no what the average home costs lets say in New York???? As far as I am concerned any mortgage company that would lend 100% on a house loan gets what they deserve. Credit issues????? Isn't that just a nice way of saying failure to pay your BILLS. I don't think the inventory will ever be gone no one is buying homes here except the element that is coming up from Miami. How about we talk about hurricanes being a factor. What happens then??

Posted by Cadillac Joe on August 21st, 2007 9:59 PM
Joe, you're absolutely right. I didn't even tough on those things because I was going to save that for an entirely separate rant.

Posted by David Uhlig on August 30th, 2007 11:29 AM
In don't think the housing market in Palm Beach County really has anything to do with going bankrupt or the amount of people that are going into bankruptcy. As I said earlier home prices and property taxes are a lot lower here then in other states. In CA figure on spending between 6 - $800,000 for a 1500 SQ home. I will agree that Palm Beach County is rated one of the top 10 most expensive counties in FL. The fact is that it has always been that way. Also the market in PBC is doing just fine in the $1,000,000 and up price range. Going bankrupt usually isn't the result of spending sprees or an over inflated housing market. It's more commonly triggered by job loss, medical problems, or a divorce. Those hit by any of these misfortunes often turn to credit cards to stay afloat. But if they have trouble finding new sources of income or an illness keeps them off the job, they often cannot pay off their debt quickly, especially if their interest rate is high. They got their feet tangled up in those high interest rates. Bankruptcy will often remain on your credit report for as long as 10 years. During this time it can be next to impossible to obtain loans or any type of credit. Also in 2005 a new federal bankruptcy law went into effect making it much more difficult to erase credit card debt by filing for bankruptcy. Before you restrict yourself to bankruptcy you should explore other options. Quite often, lawyers/ paralegals are quick to suggest bankruptcy and they don't always explain how damaging bankruptcy can be. Why would they do this? The answer is simple; if you don't file for bankruptcy, they don't get paid. Another opinion would be a Debt Settlement program. However if a bankruptcy is unavoidable I would find a licensed bankruptcy attorney one who specializes in Chapter 7 and Chapter 13 cases.

Posted by Cadillac Joe on August 31st, 2007 3:21 PM
The only way out of this mess (housing in general, not taxes in particular) is for homes to fall back to 2002 levels (or lower in inflation adjusted terms). The reason for this is straitforward. The price of rent compared to the cost of ownership is out of control! Also, to a lesser extent, the median income compared to median home prices are also nuts. However, when you can rent a home for 1/2 to 1/4 the cost of owning in; what does that tell you? If you take the appreciation out of the picture (as it most certainly is for the next few years) the only thing left is for housing prices to drop or rents to rocket up. Rents cannot rocket up because of the employment base. That's why once you start getting above 1750-2000/mo for rent the price/own ratio gets really nuts. You can rent a 3-5M dollar home in a development in Jupiter for 10-15K a month. That number should be 25-40K for a home that is really WORTH 5M dollars. The rent is pointing to the real value, somewhere between 1 and 2M dollars. Nothing can be done at this point, housing is on a downward slide. Even if taxes were totally removed, the cost of ownership is just too high for the employment base. You cannot sustain a 400K median with a 40K median salary. Of course, if everyone's salary doubled... Then everything would be just fine! :) Oh, and on your last point about all the calls you are recieving, you are correct. This, for some, is going to be an economic disaster. However, because FL is a tourist location, the entire state will not go to hell. It will be more personal economic disaster for everyone who is overextended on their homes.

Posted by John Russell on September 3rd, 2007 12:06 PM
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